Survey Methodology

Sick of Polls? There's just one more

Author: 
Phillips, Leslie
Date: 
1992
Discusses the networks' move to jointly hire the same exit polls for election projections.

The Effects of Ballot Position on Election Outcomes

Author: 
Koppell, Jonathan G. S. and Jennifer A. Steen
Date: 
2004
Research of 1998 democratic primary in New York City shows that the having his/her name first on a list helps a candidate do better

Horserace Polling and Survey Method Effects: An analysis of the 2000 campaign

Author: 
McDermott, Monika and Kathleen A. Frankovic
Date: 
2003
This study examines 2000 polling data and discovers that for the 2000 polls, placing the horse race question later in the survey (after "warm-up" questions) makes it less likely for voters to respond

The Methodology and Performance of Election Day Polls

Author: 
Levy, Mark R.
Date: 
1983
From abstract: Methodological details are presented of a survey research technique known as exit or election day polling.

Twenty Years of the Utah Colleges Exit Poll: Learning by doing

Author: 
Grimshaw, Scott D., Howard B. Christensen, David B. Magleby, and Kelly D. Patterson
Date: 
2004
Discusses the Utah Colleges Exit Poll. Is a good overview of a student run exit poll, its history, and uses. Also reviews exit polling in general, providing a list of key terms.

Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System 2004

Author: 
Edison Mitofsky Research and Mitofsky International
Date: 
2005
Investigates the reason for the difference between the exit poll estimates and the actual vote count in the 2004 Presidential election.

Race-of-Interviewer Effects in a Preelection Poll

Author: 
Finkel, Steven E., Thomas M. Guterbock, and Marian J. Borg
Date: 
1991
Preelection polls for the 1989 VA gov. election overestimated the vote share of the black candidate. This was due to social desirabilty and race-of-interviewer effects

Polling Puzzles

Author: 
Goldstein, Evan
Date: 
208
Looks at the New Hamphsire polling gaffe and samples various pundits explanations, which include the Bradley effect, likelihood of voting estimates, greater possibilty of voters changing minds just be

Overreporting the Vote in the 1988 Senate Election Study: A response to Wright

Author: 
Gronke, Paul
Date: 
1990 (Feb)
Rebuts Wrights 1990 Legislative Quarterly Article. Wright's study does not explain why respondents overreport only their Senate vote and not presidential or House votes.

The Pro Incumbent Bias in the 1978 and 1980 National Election Studies

Author: 
Eubank, Robert; Gow, David John
Date: 
1983 (Feb)
There is a proincumbent response bias in the 1978 and 1980 NES.
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