Research Methodology

Pollsters say some voters lie

Author: 
Black, Chris
Date: 
1989
Black candidates David Dinkins and Douglas Wilder did better in the polls than in the actual returns in the 1989 elections, similar to Tom Bradley's experience in the California race for governor in 1

Does Time of Voting Affect Exit Poll Results?

Author: 
Busch, Ronald J. and Joel A. Lieske
Date: 
1985
To be accurate, exit polls need to be conducted throughout election day. Different groups vote at different times of day.

Stereotype threat and Race of Interviewer Effects in a Survey on Political Knowledge

Author: 
Davis, Darren and Brian D. Silver
Date: 
2003
African American respondents performed more poorly in answering factual questions (rather than questions on opinion) when interviewed by a white interviewer than when interviewed by an African America

Secret Ballots and Self-reports in an exit-poll experiment

Author: 
Bishop, George F. and Bonnie S. Fisher
Date: 
1995
Giving voters secret ballots in exit-polling leads to higher response rates and more accurate results than doing face-to-face interviews

Why Pollsters are Flummoxed on Clinton and Obama

Author: 
Aldhous, Peter
Date: 
2008
Examines failures of pre-election polls to predict accurately the Clinton/Obama primary results. Submits that ultimately, likely-voter models are the culprit of the inaccuracies.

"Sure, I Voted for the Winner!" Overreport of the Primary Vote for the Party Nominee in the National Election Studies

Author: 
Atkeson, Lonna Rae
Date: 
1999
From abstract: "Misreport is a serious problem because inaccurate data may lead to erroneous substantive conclusions.

Reducing Vote Overreporting in Surveys

Author: 
Belli, Robert F., Michael W. Traugott, Margaret Young, and Katherine A McGonagle
Date: 
1999
Demonstrates that question wording designed to correct for social desirablility overreporting and misremembrance overreporting can reduce overrerporting in general.

The Effects of the Race of the Interviewer on the Race-Related Attitudes of Black Respondents in SRC/CPS National Election Studi

Author: 
Anderson, Barbara; Silver, Brian D.; and Abramson, Paul
Date: 
1988
Blacks interviewed by whites were more likely to express closeness toward whites than blacks interviewed by blacks.

Controversies in Exit Polling: Implementing a racially stratified homogenous precinct approach

Author: 
Barreto, Matt A., Fernando Guerra, Mara Marks, Stephen A. Nu
Date: 
2006
The Loyola Marymount poll, the poll implemented in this study, used a "racially stratified homogonous precinct approach that specifically designated precincts in predominantly White, Black, Latino, a
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