Research Methodology

The Use of Ecological Regression to Estimate Racial Bloc Voting

Author: 
Grofman, Bernard
Date: 
1992-1993
Rebuts criticisms of ecological regression, particularly those criticisms that say ecological regression has no credence

Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System 2004

Author: 
Edison Mitofsky Research and Mitofsky International
Date: 
2005
Investigates the reason for the difference between the exit poll estimates and the actual vote count in the 2004 Presidential election.

Race-of-Interviewer Effects in a Preelection Poll

Author: 
Finkel, Steven E., Thomas M. Guterbock, and Marian J. Borg
Date: 
1991
Preelection polls for the 1989 VA gov. election overestimated the vote share of the black candidate. This was due to social desirabilty and race-of-interviewer effects

Polling Puzzles

Author: 
Goldstein, Evan
Date: 
208
Looks at the New Hamphsire polling gaffe and samples various pundits explanations, which include the Bradley effect, likelihood of voting estimates, greater possibilty of voters changing minds just be

Twenty Years of the Utah Colleges Exit Poll: Learning by doing

Author: 
Grimshaw, Scott D., Howard B. Christensen, David B. Magleby, and Kelly D. Patterson
Date: 
2004
Discusses the Utah Colleges Exit Poll. Is a good overview of a student run exit poll, its history, and uses. Also reviews exit polling in general, providing a list of key terms.

Overreporting the Vote in the 1988 Senate Election Study: A response to Wright

Author: 
Gronke, Paul
Date: 
1990 (Feb)
Rebuts Wrights 1990 Legislative Quarterly Article. Wright's study does not explain why respondents overreport only their Senate vote and not presidential or House votes.

The Pro Incumbent Bias in the 1978 and 1980 National Election Studies

Author: 
Eubank, Robert; Gow, David John
Date: 
1983 (Feb)
There is a proincumbent response bias in the 1978 and 1980 NES.

Survey Biases: When does the interviewer's race matter?

Author: 
Gilberg, Chris, Julie L. Cox, Hidetaro Kashima, and Kurt Eberle
Date: 
1996
Having an African American interviewer made it more likely that respondents would indicate that they support affirmative action.

Voter Turnout and the National Election Studies

Author: 
Burden, Barry
Date: 
2000
Overreporting in the NES has gotten progressively worse as a result of the sample being over saturated with self-reported voters

Race-of-Interviewer Effects in Telephone Surveys

Author: 
Cotter, Patrick R., Jeffrey Cohen, and Phillip Coulter
Date: 
1982
Race of interviewer has an impact on responses to racial questions when the respondent is white and the interviewer is black.
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