Exit Polls: Uses Advantages and Disadvantages

The 2004 Pre-Election and Exit Polls: A total survey error analysis

Author: 
Weisberg, Herbert F.
Date: 
2005
Exit polls had more problems than pre-election polls in 2004.

Errors in measuring Vote Choice in the National Election Studies, 1952-99

Author: 
Wright, Gerald C.
Date: 
1993
The NES is victim to a substantial amount of pro-winner bias in subpresidential elections.

Exit Polls in the 1989 Virginia Gubernatorial Race: Where did they go wrong?

Author: 
Traugott, Michael W. and Vincent Price
Date: 
1992
Concludes that the 1989 Virginia gubernatorial race exit poll was wrong because it used face-to-face interviews.

Misreports of Vote Choice in the 1988 NES Senate Election Study

Author: 
Wright, Gerald C.
Date: 
1990 (Nov)
1988 NES Senate Election Study has systematic respondent overstatement of support for winners.

Republicans shyly make their presence felt

Author: 
Mount, Harry
Date: 
2004
Conservative parties in Europe have generally been known for the shy Tory effect, where they vote conservative but tell exit pollsters they voted lib.

The 1989 Elections: Predicting the outcome

Author: 
Rosenthal, Andrew
Date: 
1989
Black candidates David Dinkins and Douglas Wilder did better in the polls than in the actual returns in the 1989 elections.

Sick of Polls? There's just one more

Author: 
Phillips, Leslie
Date: 
1992
Discusses the networks' move to jointly hire the same exit polls for election projections.

The Methodology and Performance of Election Day Polls

Author: 
Levy, Mark R.
Date: 
1983
From abstract: Methodological details are presented of a survey research technique known as exit or election day polling.

White voters and African American candidates for Congress

Author: 
Highton, Benjamin
Date: 
2004
Examines exit polls and concludes that blacks' lack of success in getting elected to office is not due to white reluctance to vote for blacks.

Polling Puzzles

Author: 
Goldstein, Evan
Date: 
208
Looks at the New Hamphsire polling gaffe and samples various pundits explanations, which include the Bradley effect, likelihood of voting estimates, greater possibilty of voters changing minds just be
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